12 Comments

  1. Prakash
    December 28, 2017 @ 1:41 am

    Mumbai-India is the largest consumer of beer. Several new Craft beers are now available but the bottled Kingfisher Ultra is number 1 in consumption. There i a steady demand of Ciders and light ale but heavy beers like Stout are not too popular

    Reply

  2. Bill Vanderburgh
    December 27, 2017 @ 10:55 am

    Interesting post. I agree with most of it except your thoughts on San Diego. I actually don’t think there are any oversaturated neighborhoods in San Diego, not even North Park, where you can visit 15 breweries and tasting rooms on a 2.2 mile walk (17 in 3.5 miles). San Diego gets 30 million tourists every year, so there are lots of people to help us drink our beer. Also, there are way more than 120 breweries in San Diego now: We are up to 149 craft breweries plus 6 non-craft (Ballast Point, Saint Archer, 10 Barrel) for a total of 155, and there are an additional 30 tasting rooms owned by local craft breweries. If you include craft and non-craft, breweries, tasting rooms and brew pubs (including those where the house beer is craft but not made in San Diego–BJ’s, Oggi’s), there are 199 beer joints in San Diego. Plus all the great craft beer bars. Details here: https://craftbeerinsandiego.com/blog/2017/12/21/how-many-breweries-in-san-diego-december-2017-update

    Reply

  3. Don
    December 19, 2017 @ 1:36 am

    Prices are already killing my taste for craft beer. I’m not going to pay a premium for a badly made lager just because it’s craft. Every year I’m starting to buy more and more from the big guys again. Except ipa. That truly is best from someone close and fresh in smaller batches

    Reply

    • Jay
      December 20, 2017 @ 4:38 pm

      While I can see where you are coming from, beer is no longer a simple beverage. We have small breweries putting out sours, putting out barrel aged beers and even special blends. Then we have the bigger craft breweries coming out with limited editions. All of this will increase the price. I welcome a $12 10oz pour if it is from say Phantom Carriage or another brewery who is embracing change and fighting the status quo. It’s a 16oz for $8 of say a Pilsner that is brewed from a large brewery that I have a problem with, especially when the retailer buys a 15.5g keg for $140!

      Reply

  4. Buck
    December 18, 2017 @ 10:38 pm

    The 22 ounce “Bomber” is gone!
    Cans will continue to grow!
    $12-$16.00 4 Packs are getting to pricey! People are getting tired of the high price of craftbeer!
    Kettle Sours, Barrel Aged Beers will grow even bigger.
    The old school great brewers of the past will struggle to keep up with the trendy breweries making hazy IPA’s.
    Lastly, who ever can create the great 7.0 ABV beer that costs $9.00 6 Pack will be win big time! Will that be Stone Sierra Nevada Anchorsteam or another?

    Reply

    • Paul
      December 19, 2017 @ 2:01 pm

      I agree. For IPAs and anything commonly found in six-packs the bomber will continue to lose market. $8 bombers make $24 4-packs seem like a deal. It is also a no-brainer to grab the six-pack when it is $14 compared to a $8 bomber.

      We will also see some breweries scaling back their distribution as more and more breweries fight for six-pack shelf space.

      Magnums will also transition slowly to 375ml bottles. It is easier to swallow a $15 bottle than a $30 bottle even though it is still the same price per ounce. People are more interested in smaller size barrel-aged beers especially for imperial stouts. Pressure will also be on breweries to release 4-packs of barrel-aged beer as more big breweries enter that space.

      Reply

    • Alex
      December 19, 2017 @ 2:18 pm

      *waves from Washington state*

      Points to $9.99 six-pack of Iron Horse Irish Death with 7.8% ABV and 12 IBU.

      Reply

  5. Champs
    December 18, 2017 @ 5:34 pm

    “Sours are the new IPA” takes will plummet even faster than Boston Beer stock.

    Reply

  6. James
    December 18, 2017 @ 2:54 pm

    I feel like 2018 might be the year of the lager.

    Reply

  7. Blake
    December 18, 2017 @ 1:24 pm

    I think there’d be far too much backlash against a $50-$100 price point for 500ml beers. If anything it’d drive down the price on secondary I would think as there’d be more bottles available as consumers like me stayed away. Fundamental Observation/Forces is a great beer and well worth the price, but at $100/btl? No way in hell I’m paying that.

    Reply

    • Don
      December 19, 2017 @ 1:38 am

      I have still yet to find a bottle of beer over $20 that was worth the price. Hell a bunch have even been drain poors at that price

      Reply

      • Paul
        December 19, 2017 @ 2:05 pm

        Lost Abbey manages to sell quite a few bottles at $45 a bottle because they are coming closest to Cantillon quality. A proper gueuze style beer that blends 3 year aged beers with other beers has a certain audience that is willing to pay a premium for it. Though with Cantillon and 3F becoming more available on shelves, it might put pressure on Lost Abbey to lower the price.

        $25 seems to be the price many breweries have selected for barrel-aged sours with fruit in a 750ml bottle.

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